As Protests Engulf Iran, Israel Sees an Opportunity

Antiestablishment demonstrations across Iran escalated this weekend as reports emerged of large-scale violence by protesters and security services alike. Over half of the country’s thirty-one provinces are convulsed in protests, which first erupted on December 28 in the electronics section of Tehran’s central bazaar. 

Traders had come out onto the streets in response to a sudden 16 percent crash in the rial, whose value has dropped 84 percent over the past year. Iran’s currency has experienced severe volatility since US sanctions, which have cut its oil revenues and deprived its central bank of access to much of the revenue it still retains, were imposed in 2011. Economic ruin has destroyed much of Iran’s middle class and plunged around a third of its citizens into poverty. Rearmament spending following Israel’s June attack has only made the crisis more acute.

This is the sixth time the Islamic Republic has experienced significant mass uprisings in its history. Each time the fuse has been lit by a set of economic and cultural issues. The current protests are on the scale of many previous episodes. But they are unique in that they are occurring at a time when Tehran is engaged in  what it describes as “total war” with the United States, Israel, and Europe. 

Within Iran there is a growing sense across the political spectrum that a turning point has been reached. Ahmad Naghibzadeh, a retired politics professor at Tehran University, said that the system (the Farsi shorthand for ruling order) has in fact disappeared and the void that remains is reminiscent of that which existed in the dying days of the shah.

In recent days, video has emerged of thousands of Iranians marching peacefully against government corruption and mismanagement. In Abdanan, a poor provincial capital with a Kurdish majority, protesters stormed a branch of a supermarket chain linked to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Iran’s powerful paramilitary force, scattering…

La suite est à lire sur: jacobin.com
Auteur: Arron Reza Merat

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