Yemen’s Civil War Has Taken a Dangerous New Turn

Forces from the Southern Transitional Council (STC) have taken control of Yemen’s two eastern governorates, Hadhramaut and al Mahrah, to the dismay of both Saudi Arabia and Oman. The Saudi kingdom backs the Internationally Recognized Government (IRG), which had already lost control of Yemen’s capital Sana’a and much of its territory to the rival administration formed by Ansar Allah. Now the IRG is in further disarray.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), which joined the Saudi-led military coalition fighting against Ansar Allah, has given its support to the STC. Saudi Arabia has withdrawn all its military forces to the border area, and diplomatic efforts to solve this major challenge to the IRG’s authority show little sign of success to date.

For the past three years, Hadhramaut has been the focus of a struggle between the separatist STC and the IRG’s pro-unity elements, with the former being stronger on the coast while the latter had their main base in the interior. STC control of almost all of Hadhramaut as well as al Mahrah has created chaos and instability in the one part of Yemen that had previously remained stable since the beginning of the conflict in 2015.

To understand the importance of this event and its likely implications, we need to take the specific history of the region and the wider international context into consideration — particularly the worsening rivalry between the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

Reports often describe Hadhramaut as Yemen’s largest governorate, referring to its geographical area, although they rarely mention its small population — about 2.5 million people from a total of nearly 35 million across the whole of Yemen. Thanks to oil production and export potential, it has become very important for Yemen’s national budget in recent decades.

Forces from the Southern Transitional Council have taken control of Yemen’s two eastern governorates, Hadhramaut and al Mahrah.

Saudi Arabia’s lasting concern with the area stems from…

La suite est à lire sur: jacobin.com
Auteur: Helen Lackner

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